Byron put it best when he wrote, “History, with all her volumes vast, hath but one page” — a more beautiful way of restating the old adage that “history repeats itself.” In a year that has often been compared to 1968, it shouldn’t come as any surprise that we’ve gone a step further and channelled one of that decade’s most momentous events by replicating 1963’s March on Washington. To be sure, neither the turnout nor the prestige of Friday’s gathering compared with that of the original. Nevertheless, there is no denying the significance of what happened and no denying the seismic cultural shifts which have brought us to this point. It could have been an inspirational moment and even beneficial for the soul of the nation were it not for the simple fact that the whole thing was based on an idea that is not obviously true at all — an idea that may, in fact, actually be false.
Unlike the original march of 1963, which was largely focused on jobs and civil equality, the march of 2020 placed police brutality at the top of the list, which makes sense given the national conversation that has taken place over the past few years and especially over the past few months. The claim, of course, is that African-Americans are disproportionately targeted as victims of police brutality and that such targeting is inherently racist. Easy enough, and yet as simple as this claim seems to be, it turns out to be slightly more complex than meets the eye for a number of reasons, not least of which is the dubious claim that targeting African Americans for enhanced policing is intrinsically racist.
Perhaps we can admit that in some cases such profiling could be considered racist. I think I’m willing to grant that, depending on the particular circumstances. But we have to admit the obvious truth that many communities of color also carry with them a far higher rate of violent crime, which means that police officers are inevitably going to see these communities and the people associated with them as posing a higher risk to their own personal safety. The consequence, of course, is that these officers will tend to be more vigilant and oftentimes more ready to use force when they approach an African-American suspect, which can then sometimes lead to unfortunate results. Whatever else this may be, it is not clearly racism according to the classic definition, and it should more appropriately be viewed as merely a cognitive shortcut based on the statistical likelihood of injury that these officers face when engaging with African-Americans. And it ought to be pointed out that this in no way implies that most blacks are violent criminals. It may well be that the vast majority of blacks are good, law-abiding citizens. But as Thomas Sowell pointed out in his book Discrimination and Disparities, as long as there are enough violent criminals among African-American males, that cognitive shortcut of assuming the worst in a suspect becomes an economically worthwhile gamble, even if most of those African-American males are completely innocent.
The other complication to the claim that blacks are disproportionately targeted as victims of police brutality comes from the fact that police brutality has a wide definition which can include anything from physical bullying to cold-blooded murder. This distinction really is an important one, since there actually is evidence that officers do play a bit rougher with people of color, as Roland Fryer points out in his paper entitled “An Empirical Analysis of Racial Differences in Police Use of Force”. This same paper, however, finds the opposite conclusion with regards to actual shootings, which make up most of the alleged murder cases. He states: “[O]n the most extreme use of force – officer-involved shootings – we are unable to detect any racial differences in either the raw data or when accounting for controls.” This conclusion, in fact, has been found by multiple studies on the matter. When all relevant factors are taken into consideration, African-Americans are no more likely to be killed by police officers than whites. They are more likely to commit crime, however, which further means that they are more likely to have frequent encounters with the police. And this means that they are also more likely to find themselves in situations that could turn violent and ultimately fatal.
You could, I confess, point out that there may be some conflicting studies which show the opposite conclusion. Indeed, I know that there are some out there, but at the moment this really doesn’t matter. The very fact that there is such ambiguity in the literature, the very fact that the most precise statistical analyses fail to find a consistent pattern of racism suggests that the problem, if it even exists, may not be nearly as significant as we’re being led to believe. It only reinforces the notion that we ought to be careful and not rush to judgment when these incidents occur.
What’s usually forgotten or ignored is the simple fact that unarmed whites are very often killed by police officers as well, sometimes in almost identical circumstances, such as that of Tony Timpa in 2019, who was held down with a knee on the back until he stopped breathing and subsequently died. A few years prior, back in 2016, I had written a piece mentioning the names of a handful of other white victims who were both unarmed and killed at the hands of an officer (somewhat-understandably so in some cases) — names such as Dillon Taylor, Deven Guilford, Andrew Henson, Dylan Noble, and Daniel Harris, a deaf man whose sign language may have been misinterpreted as suspicious hand gesturing by the cops.
It may well be that some of the deaths we see of unarmed black men are the result of racial bigotry. That is entirely plausible and can’t be denied out of hand. But the fact that any white person is also killed with no apparent racial motivation suggests that we cannot draw that conclusion without first assessing the situation. To date, there have been 146 unarmed whites killed by police since 2015, according to The Washington Post, 11 of which happened in 2020. You don’t know them, but here are the names of those who died since January 1st:
Hannah R. Fizer
Tyler Hays
Nicholas Bils
Giuseppe Particianone
Zachary Shane Gifford
John Mark Hendrick
Aaron Tolen
Brian Marksberry
Kenneth Mullins
Christopher Palmer
Stephen O’Brien